In a recently published Aviso article, which explored the political preferences of Malone student’s in relation to which presidential candidate they currently supported or would consider voting for in the November election, it was found that 55% of the 40 students polled were still undecided. Since then, the pool of candidates to choose from has narrowed, and quite a few other state primaries and caucuses have since passed.
At the present, three Republican and two Democratic candidates remain: John Kasich, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump represent the Republican party while Hilary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are still in the race for the Democratic nomination.
According to the Associated Press, as of April 2, Trump has earned 736 of 1,237 delegates needed for the Republican nomination and Cruz follows behind with 436 and Kasich, 143. Clinton accounts for 1,712 of 2,383 needed for the Democratic nomination, while Sanders has claimed 1,011. During the month of April, candidates will have the chance to add to these numbers in the Wisconsin, New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island primaries, and Wyoming democratic caucus.
Who will obtain the the Republican and Democratic nomination? Is it too early to project a winner for each?
Election Projection predicts “we are looking at Trump-Clinton tango in November… it’s early… but the polls are plentiful.”
In January, Politico shared a handful of Politico insiders top 2016 predictions:
“Donald Trump will win the GOP presidential nomination and pick Mike Huckabee as his running mate. The FBI will file criminal charges related to Hillary Clinton’s use of a home-brew email server as secretary of state. A Ted Cruz-Nikki Haley GOP ticket will defeat a Hillary Clinton-Tim Kaine Democratic ticket to claim the White House.”
However, at the beginning of April, Newsweek published “Donald Trump’s Chances of Winning the Republican Nomination Fall Sharply,” arguing that Trump’s odds of securing the nomination in the first ballot have decreased. This means the probability of a brokered convention, which has the potential to select a different nominee should a sole candidate such as Trump fail to receive the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination, have increased.
With Clinton in the lead on the Democratic side, the Chicago Tribune, considering current polls, superdelegates and upcoming primaries/caucuses, maintained that, “No, the race between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton isn’t close,” favoring of a Clinton win. However, Fortune claims that Sanders maintains a viable shot at earning the nomination.
So, what does any of this have to do with you, a Malone student? Why should you care? Your voice matters. You have the chance to actively participate in something that shapes the future of this country. Are you passionate about a social issue? Look into supporting a candidate that is too. As a college student, do you worry about the status of your financial security? Consider each candidate’s economic plans and ideas. For the first time, young voters, age 18 to 29 are an equal proportion of the electorate as baby boomers. Your voice, and your support matters.
The remaining question is: Who should I support? This is up to you, however, there are a few things to consider.
Pick up the second half of this piece next week in The Aviso.
Rachel Pelletier is a staff writer for The Aviso